FRAMING EMERGING NANOTECHNOLOGIES: STEPS TOWARDS A FORWARD-LOOKING ANALYSIS OF SKILLS

Konstantin Fursov and Ian Miles

HSE Working papers from National Research University Higher School of Economics

Abstract: How can we think about the implications of radical technological change for employment and skills? Given the long lead-times required to train professionals, this is an important question, and standard approaches to modeling employment and occupational trends only provide limited parts of the answer. Innovation studies provide us with some further tools for tackling the question, such as diffusion and industry life-cycle analysis, and ideas about different sorts of technological change (including technical paradigms, regimes, and trajectories of change), which are very relevant to emerging technologies like nanotechnology. There are many claims and much argument about the scope and speed of the evolution of nanotechnology. It poses particular challenges to conventional forecasting approaches precisely because it is difficult to resolve such debates in the infancy of a technology, and in this case knowledge is fragmented because of the intersection of numerous lines of development at the nano-scale. Current skill and employment projections for nanoindustries are problematic, so it is important to consider new ways to improve understanding and provide more policy-relevant intelligence.

Keywords: emerging technologies; nanotechnology; statistics; Foresight; skills (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C18 C46 C53 Z13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 51 pages
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-for and nep-knm
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Published in WP BRP Series: Science, Technology and Innovation / STI, July 2013, pages 1-51

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