Some Remarks on the Causal Inference for Historical Persistence

Katsuo Kogure and 克夫 小暮

No HIAS-E-44, Discussion paper series from Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University

Abstract: A growing body of literature examines the relationships between historical events and contemporary economic outcomes. Recent studies estimate the causal effects using detailed historical data and contemporary microdata of individuals and/or households. In this paper, we discuss conceptual and econometric issues inherent in the causal inference following the potential outcomes framework. Using an empirical example, we also discuss a simple alternative approach to avoid these issues that is coherent with the potential outcomes framework.

Keywords: history; economic development; causal effect; Rubin causal model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 N01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27 pages
Date: 2017-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-his
Note: May 2017; reviced in September 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hit:hiasdp:hias-e-44

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