A regression discontinuity evaluation of reducing early retirement eligibility in Poland

Joanna Tyrowicz, Oliwia Komada and Paweł Strzelecki

No 201810, IAAEU Discussion Papers from Institute of Labour Law and Industrial Relations in the European Union (IAAEU)

Abstract: The reform introduced in Poland in 2009 substantially and abruptly reduced the number of workers eligible for early retirement. This paper evaluates the causal effects of this reform on labor force participation and exit to retirement. We use rich rotating panel from the Polish Labor Force Survey and exploit the discontinuity imposed by this reform. We find a statistically significant, but economically small discontinuity at the timing of the reform. The placebo test shows no similar effects in earlier or later quarters, but in a vast majority of specifications the discontinuity is not larger for the treated individuals, i.e. those whose occupation lost eligibility. We interpret these results as follows: the changes in the eligibility criteria were not instrumental in fostering the participation rates among the affected cohort, i.e. the immediate contribution to increased labor force participation of these cohorts is not economically large.

Keywords: retirement age; early retirement; regression discontinuity; Poland (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J14 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-eur and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Related works:
Journal Article: A regression discontinuity evaluation of reducing early retirement eligibility in Poland (2019)
Working Paper: A regression discontinuity evaluation of reducing early retirement eligibility in Poland (2018)
Working Paper: A Regression Discontinuity Evaluation of Reducing Early Retirement Eligibility in Poland (2018)
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