Who Suffers During Recessions in Brazil?

Túlio Cravo and Caroline Schimanski

No 9546, IDB Publications (Working Papers) from Inter-American Development Bank

Abstract: While the relationship between business cycles and employment is a topic of continuing interest, it has received limited attention in the literature focusing on developing countries. This study adds to the literature as it analyzes the heterogeneous correlations of business cycles with employment, unemployment and participation rate by different age, education, gender and ethnic groups in a developing country setting. Using data from the monthly PME employment surveys between 2002 and 2016 in Brazil, we assess how these labour market measures in specific demographic groups are affected by the business cycles. The results provide evidence of the existence of large heterogeneities among demographic groups. Interestingly, demographic groups’ labour market measures in levels are not necessarily aligned with their sensitivity to economic cycles when controlling for other demographic characteristics. Understanding how levels of labour market measures related to their sensitivity to cycles is crucial to design better policies.

JEL-codes: E24 J21 J23 J24 J46 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:idb:brikps:9546

DOI: 10.18235/0001640

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