Divorce and the business cycle: a cross-country analysis

Rafael González-Val and Miriam Marcén

No 2015/34, Working Papers from Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB)

Abstract: In this paper, we examine the role of the business cycle in divorce. To do so, we use a panel of 29 European countries covering the period from 1991 to 2012. We find the unemployment rate negatively affects the divorce rate, pointing to a pro-cyclical evolution of the divorce rate, even after controlling for socio-economic variables and unobservable characteristics that can vary by country, and/or over time. Results indicate that a one-percentage-point increase in the unemployment rate involves almost 0.025 fewer divorces per thousand inhabitants. The impact is small, representing around 1.2% of the average divorce rate in Europe during the period considered. Supplementary analysis, developed to explore a possible non-linear pattern, confirms a negative relationship between unemployment and divorce in European countries, with the inverse relationship being more pronounced in those countries with higher divorce rates.

Keywords: Divorce; unemployment; business cycle (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C23 J12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 55 pages
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Divorce and the business cycle: a cross-country analysis (2017)
Working Paper: Divorce and the Business cycle: A cross-country analysis (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ieb:wpaper:doc2015-34

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