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Strategic fire-sales and price-mediated contagion in the banking system

Yann Braouezec () and Lakshithe Wagalath ()
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Yann Braouezec: IESEG School of Management (LEM-CNRS-UMR 9221)
Lakshithe Wagalath: IESEG School of Management (LEM-CNRS-UMR 9221)

No 2017-ACF-05, Working Papers from IESEG School of Management

Abstract: We consider a price-mediated contagion framework in which each bank, after an exogenous shock, may have to sell assets in order to comply with regulatory constraints. Interaction between banks takes place only through price impact. We characterize the equilibrium of the strategic deleveraging problem and we calibrate our model to publicly-available data, the US banks that were part of the 2015 regulatory stress-tests. We then consider a more sophisticated model in which each bank is exposed to two risky assets (marketable and not marketable) and is only able to sell the marketable asset. We calibrate our model using the six banks with signi˝cant trading operations and we show that, depending on the price impact, the contagion of failures may be signi˝cant. Our results may be used to re˝ne current stress testing frameworks by incorporating potential contagion mechanisms between banks

Keywords: Fire sales; price-mediated contagion; Nash equilibrium with strategic complemen-tarities; CCAR 2015; macro-prudential stress-tests (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 50 pages
Date: 2017-09, Revised 2018-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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