Quantity Rationing of Credit
George Waters
No 20111005, Working Paper Series from Illinois State University, Department of Economics
Abstract:
Quantity rationing of credit, when ?firms are denied loans, has greater potential to explain macroeconomics ?fluctuations than borrowing costs. This paper develops a DSGE model with both types of financial frictions. A deterioration in credit market con?fidence leads to a temporary change in the interest rate, but a persistent change in the fraction of ?firms receiving ?financing, which leads to a persistent fall in real activity. Empirical evidence confi?rms that credit market con?fidence, measured by the survey of loan officers, is a signi?cant leading indicator for capacity utilization and output, while borrowing costs, measured by interest rate spreads, is not.
Keywords: Quantity Rationing; Credit; VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E10 E24 E44 E50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 23 pages
Date: 2011-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-cfn, nep-dge and nep-mac
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
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