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Monetary and Macroprudential Policies under Dollar-Denominated Foreign Debt

Hidehiko Matsumoto

No 21-E-04, IMES Discussion Paper Series from Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan

Abstract: This paper studies the optimal monetary and macroprudential policies in a small open economy that borrows from abroad in foreign currency. The model features a novel mechanism in which sudden stops due to an occasionally binding borrowing constraint trigger a sharp currency depreciation through balance of payments adjustments, thereby increase the domestic-currency value of foreign debt and cause severe economic downturns. A policy analysis shows that a contractionary monetary policy mitigates depreciation during a crisis, but the anticipation of policy interventions during the crisis induces larger borrowings ex ante and destabilizes the economy. A combination of an ex ante macroprudential tax on foreign borrowing and ex post monetary policy interventions can stabilize the economy and improve social welfare.

Keywords: Exchange rate; Balance of payments; Sudden stops; Monetary policy; Macroprudential policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F32 F38 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-opm
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