Mexico: 2020 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report

International Monetary Fund

No 2020/293, IMF Staff Country Reports from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: Covid-19 has exacted a tragic human, social, and economic toll on Mexico. Over 85,000 lives were lost; unofficial estimates are notably higher. Of 12 million workers that lost their jobs, most of whom came from the informal sector with a limited safety net, over 4 million remain out of the workforce. The working poverty rate jumped to 48 percent. After a historic drop in output, there has been a trade-led bounce in manufacturing. But domestic demand is weak, as is services activity that employs most of the workforce. Staff projects the economy to shrink by 9 percent this year, followed by a gradual recovery. It could take years for employment and incomes to return to pre-crisis levels, compounding the long-standing challenge of achieving strong and inclusive growth.

Keywords: ISCR; CR; labor market informality; swap line; largely not observed; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; CFT effort; private sector; central bank; market liquidity; monetary policy; gross domestic product; COVID-19; Public investment spending; Credit; Inflation; Global; North America (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 88
Date: 2020-11-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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