The Spillover Effects of the Global Crisison Economic Activity in Mena Emerging Market Countries: An Analysis Using the Financial Stress Index
Kenji Moriyama
No 2010/008, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund
Abstract:
The estimated spillover of the global crisis to emerging market (EM) economies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) indicates that nearly two-thirds of the increased financial stress in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock is attributable to direct or indirect spillovers of financial stress in advanced economies. Moreover, the estimated models suggest that the increased financial stress and slowdown in economic activity in advanced economies can explain about half of the drop in real GDP growth in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock.
Keywords: WP; real GDP growth; economic activity; Spillover; financial stress; emerging market; GCC country; growth projection; advanced economy; emerging market country; countries in the Middle East and North Africa; Financial soundness indicators; Estimation techniques; Spillovers; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21
Date: 2010-01-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)
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