Armenia: An Assessment of the Real Exchange Rate and Competitiveness

Anke Weber and Chunfang Yang

No 2011/020, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: This paper uses a range of different methodologies to estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate in Armenia with both single-country and panel estimation techniques. We estimate a country specific autoregressive distributed lag model and then proceed with the estimation of a cointegrated panel consisting of transition economies in Europe and Central Asia. This addresses cross section dependence by using common correlated effects estimators. While our analysis focuses on Armenia, the methods are applicable to a large number of transition economies, and the paper thus provides an overview of methods that can be used to assess a country’s equilibrium exchange rate.

Keywords: WP; exchange rate; price index; Equilibrium exchange rate; competitiveness; panel estimations; exchange rate appreciation; panel estimation; estimation result; CCE estimation methodology; exchange rate misalignment; CA norm; Real exchange rates; Exchange rates; Current account; Real effective exchange rates; Competition; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 39
Date: 2011-01-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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