Tax Buoyancy in OECD Countries

Vincent Belinga, Dora Benedek, Ruud de Mooij and John Norregaard

No 2014/110, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: By how much will faster economic growth boost government revenue? This paper estimates short- and long-run tax buoyancy in OECD countries between 1965 and 2012. We find that, for aggregate tax revenues, short-run tax buoyancy does not significantly differ from one in the majority of countries; yet, it has increased since the late 1980s so that tax systems have generally become better automatic stabilizers. Long-run buoyancy exceeds one in about half of the OECD countries, implying that GDP growth has helped improve structural fiscal deficit ratios. Corporate taxes are by far the most buoyant, while excises and property taxes are the least buoyant. For personal income taxes and social contributions, short- and long-run buoyancies have declined since the late 1980s and have, on average, become lower than one.

Keywords: WP; tax buoyancy; tax revenue; OECD revenue statistics; buoyancy estimate; OECD country; Automatic stabilizers; Error Correction Model; OECD; revenue performance; Personal income tax; Corporate income tax; Property tax; Value-added tax (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 18
Date: 2014-06-19
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (28)

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