Nowcashing: Using Daily Fiscal Data for Real-Time Macroeconomic Analysis

Florian Misch, Brian Olden, Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro and Lamya Kejji
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

No 2017/227, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: Traditionally, fiscal data for policy analysis are derived from official reports that, depending on the country, are published either monthly, quarterly or annually, often with significant time lags. However, innovations in digitalization of government payments and accounting systems mean that real-time daily fiscal data exist in many countries. In this paper, we argue that these data contain valuable, but underutilized and underexploited information. Possible uses include (i) realtime fiscal surveillance which allows for much more timely responses to emerging signs of fiscal stress, and (ii) nowcasting economic activity, which is especially useful in countries where higher frequency GDP statistics are unavailable.

Keywords: WP; government; balance; cash balance; economic activity; country; government banking arrangement; Nowcashing; Real-time data; Fiscal policy; Nowcasting; balances data; government payment system; government bank accounts; Government finance statistics; Currencies; PFM information systems; Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 29
Date: 2017-11-06
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