The External Balance Assessment Methodology: 2018 Update

Luis Cubeddu, Signe Krogstrup, Gustavo Adler, Pau Rabanal, Mai Dao, Swarnali Hannan, Luciana Juvenal, Carolina Osorio-Buitron, Cyril Rebillard, Daniel Garcia-Macia, Callum Jones, Jair Rodriguez, Kyun Suk Chang, Deepali Gautam, Zijiao Wang and Nan Li

No 2019/065, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: The assessment of external positions and exchange rates is a key mandate of the IMF. This paper presents the updated External Balance Assessment (EBA) framework—a key input in the conduct of multilaterally-consistent external sector assessments of 49 advanced and emerging market economies—following the two rounds of refinements adopted since the framework was introduced in 2012 (as described in Phillips et al., 2013). It also presents new complementary tools for shedding light on the role of structural factors in explaining external imbalances and assessing potential biases in the measurement of external positions. Remaining challenges and areas of future work are also discussed.

Keywords: WP; exchange rate; current account; exchange rates; external sustainability; global imbalances; current account model; foreign exchange; current account gap; EBA current account model; EBA current account balance assessment; capital control index; REER-Index model; capital control; model residual; potential GDP; reer-index model; current account level; Current account balance; Real effective exchange rates; Capital controls; External balance assessment (EBA); Global (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 68
Date: 2019-03-19
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (41)

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