What fiscal policy is most effective? A Meta Regression Analysis

Sebastian Gechert

No 117-2013, IMK Working Paper from IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute

Abstract: We apply meta regression analysis to a unique data set of 104 studies on multiplier effects with 1069 reported multipliers in order to derive stylized facts and to quantify the differing effectiveness of the composition of fiscal impulses, adjusted for the interference of study-design characteristics and sample specifics. As a major result, we find that public spending multipliers are close to one and about 0.3 to 0.4 units larger than tax and transfer multipliers. Public investment multipliers are even larger by approximately 0.5 units. Reported multipliers vary with study-design, thus, policy consulting based on a certain multiplier study should lay open by how much specification affects the results. Our meta analysis provides guidance concerning influential factors, their sign and magnitude.

Keywords: multiplier effects; fiscal policy; meta analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E27 E62 H30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 52 pages
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-pbe
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

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Journal Article: What fiscal policy is most effective? A meta-regression analysis (2015)
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