Insecurities of the old and marginalized: Inflation, oil shocks, financial crisis and social security

Ashima Goyal

Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers from Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India

Abstract: The paper examines the impact of recent inflation and financial shocks on the vulnerable, and explores policy design to reduce both future shocks and vulnerability to shocks. Inflation affects the typical savings cum pension portfolio and the specific consumption basket of the old, as prices of services rise compared to manufactured goods. Money illusion and habit, which tend to increase with age, aggravate the psychological trauma associated with inflation. The decline of traditional sources of social security marginalizes those without savings, in the context of sustained rural urban and international migration. Trends determining inflation-domestic and global, institutional change, and greater openness explain why inflation has been moderate in India, compared to other emerging markets. Since the polity is averse to high inflation, and commodity price shocks are moderating, high inflation will not persist. But the shocks demonstrate the importance of food price inflation for aggregate inflation in populous South Asia. Therefore improvements in agricultural productivity, with supportive buffer stock, fiscal and monetary policy are critical to lower the level of chronic inflation. Regulatory changes to reduce excessive risktaking in financial markets and the aggravation of inflation from speculation are examined. Finally, other policy measures to improve security for the old and keep them an active, vital part of the community are drawn together.

Keywords: Aged; Inflation; Oil shocks; Financial crisis; Social security (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 G18 H55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 26 pages
Date: 2009-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-cwa and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Insecurities of the old and marginalized: Inflation, Oil Shocks, Financial Crisis and Social Security (2009)
Working Paper: Insecurities of the Old and Marginalized: Inflation, Oil Shocks, Financial Crisis and Social Security (2009)
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