Shifts in the Composition of Jobs: The Case of Russia (2000-2019)

Vladimir Gimpelson (gimpelson@wisc.edu) and Rostislav Kapeliushnikov (rostis@hse.ru)
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Vladimir Gimpelson: University of Wisconsin–Madison
Rostislav Kapeliushnikov: HSE University

No 2023-03, JRC Working Papers on Labour, Education and Technology from Joint Research Centre

Abstract: In this study, we explore the changing employment structure in the Russian economy since 2000. Does it change through a consequent substitution of relatively worse (in terms of quality) jobs by better jobs? Or through the destruction of middle quality jobs? Or do we observe stagnation and conservation of the job structure? Structural change of this sort can be brought by various factors among which technological progress and international trade that shape demand for labor of different quality and complexity play a special role. In search for clues to these questions, the authors use large data sets that cover two sub-periods divided by the 2008/9 crisis. The estimates presented in the paper allow the rejection of the polarization hypothesis, and they document a fast upgrade of the job structure during the 1st sub-period and a stalemate during the 2nd one. Apparently, risks of job polarization are likely to be minimal until economic growth is recovered and a movement to the technological frontier is accelerated.

Keywords: occupational change; employment; job polarisation; upgrading; jobs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 29 pages
Date: 2023-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-des and nep-tra
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ipt:laedte:202303

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