The Dynamic Behavior of Chinese Housing Prices

Changrong Deng (), Yongkai Ma () and Yao-Min Chiang ()
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Changrong Deng: University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Yongkai Ma: University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Yao-Min Chiang: National Chengchi University

International Real Estate Review, 2009, vol. 12, issue 2, 121-134

Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the dynamic effects of fundamental factors on housing prices in China. We examine how quickly and strongly housing prices react to changes in these factors. We especially want to test whether these reactions change after China adopted a new system for granting land use rights in 2002. We find that the main fundamental explanatory factors explaining Chinese housing price variations are household disposable income, new-build supply, housing units sold, unemployment, and land prices. Among these factors, the most important one is land price. The effect of land prices on housing prices is especially enhanced after adoption of the new system for granting land use rights in 2002.

Keywords: Housing price; Fundamental factors; Land price; Land policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L85 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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