Trade Shocks, Fertility, and Marital Behavior

Osea Giuntella, Lorenzo Rotunno and Luca Stella ()
Additional contact information
Luca Stella: University of Milan

No 14224, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: Using longitudinal data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we analyze the effects of exposure to trade on the fertility and marital behavior of German workers. We find that individuals working in sectors that were more affected by import competition from Eastern Europe and suffered worse labor market outcomes were less likely to have children. In contrast, workers in sectors that benefited from increased exports had better employment prospects and higher fertility. These effects are driven by low-educated and married men, and reflect changes in the likelihood of having any child (extensive margin). While among workers exposed to import competition there is evidence of some fertility postponement, we find a significant reduction of completed fertility. There is instead little evidence of any significant effect on marital behavior.

Keywords: fertility; labor market outcomes; international trade; marriage (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F16 J13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 63 pages
Date: 2021-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa, nep-dem, nep-eur, nep-int and nep-lab
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published - published in: Demography, 2022, 59 (6), 2135-2159

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Related works:
Working Paper: Trade Shocks, Fertility, and Marital Behavior (2021)
Working Paper: Trade Shocks, Fertility, and Marital Behavior (2021)
Working Paper: Trade Shocks, Fertility, and Marital Behavior (2021)
Working Paper: Trade Shocks, Fertility, and Marital Behavior (2021)
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