The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change

Thang Dao (), Matthias Kalkuhl and Chrysovalantis Vasilakis
Additional contact information
Thang Dao: University of Roehampton
Matthias Kalkuhl: Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC)

No 15646, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: We consider how the demographic transition has been shaped in regions that are the least developed and the most vulnerable to climate change. Environmental conditions affect intra-household labor allocation because of the impacts on local resources under the poor infrastructural system. Climate change causes damage to local resources, offsetting the role of technological progress in saving time that women spend on their housework. Hence, the gender inequality in education/income is upheld, delaying declines in fertility and creating population momentum. The bigger population, in turn, degrades local resources through expanded production. The interplay between local resources, gender inequality, and population, under the persistent effect of climate change, may thus generate a slow demographic transition and stagnation. We provide empirical confirmation for our theoretical predictions from 44 Sub-Saharan African countries.

Keywords: climate change; local resources; fertility; gender inequality in education; slow demographic transition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J16 Q01 Q20 Q54 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 39 pages
Date: 2022-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-env, nep-gro and nep-lab
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Working Paper: The slow demographic transition in regions vulnerable to climate change (2022)
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