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Short-Term Rental Bans and Housing Prices: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Lisbon

Duarte Gonçalves, Susana Peralta () and João Pereira Dos Santos ()
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Duarte Gonçalves: Pompeu Fabra University
Susana Peralta: Nova School of Business and Economics

No 15706, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: We estimate the causal impact of a 2018 zoning reform that banned new short-term rental registries in some parts of Lisbon. The short-term rental licence expires when the house is sold, hence the ban removes the option value of short-term renting a property. We rely on two administrative data sets on short-term rental registries and real estate transactions, complemented with Airbnb data on listings and prices. We employ a difference-in-differences estimation taking advantage of the spatial discontinuity in the ban. We document a spike in newly registered housing units, between the announcement and the implementation of the ban. The reform decreases real estate prices by 8%, mostly in two-bedroom dwellings, for which the price drops 20%. We conclude that heterogeneous effects are key to understanding the backlash against short-term rentals.

Keywords: Airbnb; policy analysis; housing market; short-term rental; Portugal (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R12 R21 R30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 43 pages
Date: 2022-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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