Economic Performance and Unemployment: Evidence from an Emerging Economy - Turkey

Hakan Berument (), Nukhet Dogan () and Aysıt Tansel ()

No 1614, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: This article examines whether various macroeconomic policy shocks have different effects on overall unemployment rate and the unemployment rate by different levels of education in Turkey. These effects are assessed for total, male and female unemployment rates separately. To examine the relationship, a quarterly VAR model with a recursive order is employed to estimate the effects of real GDP, price, exchange rate, interbank interest rate, money supply and unemployment for the period from 1988:01 to 2003:04. Main findings indicate that a positive income shock reduces total unemployment while positive exchange rate and interbank interest rate innovations both increase the unemployment rate during the initial periods. The responses of high school educated unemployment rate to five macroeconomic variable shocks are different than the response of other educational unemployment rates. Furthermore, the overall results across gender are similar.

Keywords: unemployment; economic performance and vector autoregressive regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 24 pages
Date: 2005-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa, nep-edu and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

Published - published in: International Journal of Manpower, 2006, 27(7), 604-623

Downloads: (external link)
https://docs.iza.org/dp1614.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Economic Performance and Unemployment: Evidence from an Emerging Economy - Turkey (2004)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iza:izadps:dp1614

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
IZA, Margard Ody, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) IZA, P.O. Box 7240, D-53072 Bonn, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Holger Hinte ().