The Effects of the Dobbs Decision on Fertility

Daniel Dench, Mayra Pineda-Torres () and Caitlin Myers

No 16608, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: The U.S. Supreme Court decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization sparked the most profound transformation of the landscape of abortion access in 50 years. We provide the first estimates of the effects of this decision on fertility using a pre-registered synthetic difference-in-differences design applied to newly released provisional natality data for the first half of 2023. The results indicate that states with abortion bans experienced an average increase in births of 2.3 percent relative to states where abortion was not restricted.

Keywords: abortion; Dobbs; fertility; power analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I11 I12 I18 J13 K23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 66 pages
Date: 2023-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem, nep-hea, nep-inv and nep-law
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