Migration Strategies of the Crisis-Stricken Youth in an Enlarged European Union

Martin Kahanec and Brian Fabo

No 7285, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: This paper studies the migration response of the youth from new EU member states to disparate conditions in an enlarged European Union at the onset of the Great Recession. We use the Eurobarometer data and probabilistic econometric models to identify the key drivers of the intention to work in another member state of European Economic Area (EEA) and their expected duration. We find that migration intentions are high among those not married and among males with children, but both categories are also overrepresented among people with only temporary as opposed to long-term or permanent migration plans. Whereas age affects migration intentions negatively, education has no effect on whether working abroad is envisaged. However, conditional on envisaging to work abroad, completion of education (if after 16th birthday) is associated with long-term (at least five years), but not permanent, migration plans. Finally, we find that socio-demographic variables explain about as much variation of migration intentions as self-reported push and pull factors and migration constraints.

Keywords: EU labor markets; labor mobility; free movement of workers; transitional arrangements; new member states; EU enlargement; youth; migration; European Union (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
Date: 2013-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-eur and nep-mig
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

Published - published in: Transfer: European Review of Labor and Research, 2013, 19 (3), 365-380

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Working Paper: Migration strategies of the crisis-stricken youth in an enlarged European Union (2013)
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