Migration of Graduates within a Sequential Decision Framework: Evidence from Poland

Mikolaj Herbst (), Pawel Kaczmarczyk and Piotr Wójcik

No 8573, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: According to the economic literature human capital is a critical growth factor. This is why migration of individuals well endowed with human capital is subject of interest for both academics and policymakers. The aim of this paper is to identify main drivers of highly skilled migration within Poland. Following the findings of earlier studies, we argue that the spatial mobility of individuals should not be considered in terms of one-time displacement, but rather as a sequence of migration decisions within certain time period. We assume that the propensity to migrate depends on factors to be interpreted in terms of aspirations and capabilities and, additionally, the importance of those factors can change during the education process and in the life course. Applying multinomial logit modelling on the unique database on Polish graduates we find that all tested migration strategies can be explained both in terms of capacities to aspire and capacities to realize, whereas repeat migration is driven particularly by characteristics related to level of aspirations and return migration - by low capacities to realize the migration projects.

Keywords: capacity to aspire; sequential decision framework; graduates; high skilled migration; capacity to realize (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I25 J24 J61 J62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 28 pages
Date: 2014-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mig and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published - published in: Central European Economic Journal, 2017, 1 (48), 1-18

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Journal Article: Migration of Graduates Within a Sequential Decision Framework: Evidence from Poland (2017)
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