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Evaluation of Non-Survey International IO Construction Methods with the Asian-Pacific Input-Output Table

Jan Oosterhaven, Stelder Dirk and Inomata Satoshi

No 114, IDE Discussion Papers from Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO)

Abstract: This paper presents four non-survey methods to construct a full-information international input-output table from national IO tables and international import and export statistics, and this paper tests these four methods against the semi-survey international IO table for nine East-Asian countries and the USA, which is constructed by the Institute of Developing Economies in Japan.The tests show that the impact on the domestic flows of using self-sufficiency ratios is small, except for Singapore and Malaysia, two countries with large volumes of smuggling and transit trade. As regards the accuracy of the international flows, all methods show considerable errors, of 10%-40% for commodities and of 10%-70% for services. When more information is added, i.e. going from Method 1 to 4, the accuracy increases, except for Method 2 that generally produces larger errors than Method 1. In all, it seems doubtful whether replacing the semi-survey Asian-Pacific IO table with one of the four non-survey tables is justified, except when the semi-survey table itself is also considered to be just another estimate.

Keywords: Non-survey estimates; International trade; Input-output tables; East-Asia; Southeast Asia; United States; 貿易; 産業連関表; 東アジア; 東南アジア; アメリカ合衆国 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C81 D57 R15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-07-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev, nep-int and nep-sea
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Published in IDE Discussion Paper = IDE Discussion Paper, No. 114. 2007-07-01

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