Market efficiency of commodity futures in India
Takeshi Inoue and
Shigeyuki Hamori
No 370, IDE Discussion Papers from Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO)
Abstract:
This paper aims to examine the market efficiency of the commodity futures market in India, which has been growing phenomenally for the last few years. We estimate the long-run equilibrium relationship between the multi-commodity futures and spot prices and then test for market efficiency in a weak form sense by applying both the DOLS and the FMOLS methods. The entire sample period is from 2 January 2006 to 31 March 2011. The results indicate that a cointegrating relationship is found between these indices and that the commodity futures market seems to be efficient only during the more recent sub-sample period since July 2009.
Keywords: India; Financial market; Primary commodities; Prices; Futures markets; Commodity futures; Efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G13 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-10-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr
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Published in IDE Discussion Paper = IDE Discussion Paper, No. 370. 2012-10-01
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https://ir.ide.go.jp/record/37804/files/IDP000370_001.pdf First version, 2012 (application/pdf)
Related works:
Chapter: Market Efficiency of Commodity Futures in India (2014) 
Journal Article: Market efficiency of commodity futures in India (2014) 
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