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Bank income and profits over the business and interest rate cycle

Johann Burgstaller

No 2006-11, Economics working papers from Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria

Abstract: If and how the conduct of the banking sector contributes to the propagation of aggregate shocks has become a prominent empirical research question. This study explores what a cyclicality analysis of net interest margins and spreads, as well as profitability figures, can contribute to the discussion. By using time series data for the Austrian banking sector from 1987 to 2005, it is found that many of these measures fall in economic upturns. Net interest income from granting loans and taking deposits from non-banks, however, evolves procyclically and increases with rising interest rates. Combined with the observation that the margins’ countercyclical variations are rather small, it can be concluded that there is no striking evidence for a financial accelerator caused by the Austrian banking sector.

Keywords: Bank interest margins; business cycles; financial accelerator; impulse response analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-bec, nep-cba and nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jku:econwp:2006_11

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