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Explaining Institutional Change: Why Elected Politicians Implement Direct Democracy

David Hugh-Jones

No 2008-085, Jena Economics Research Papers from Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena

Abstract: In existing models of direct democratic institutions, the median voter beneï¬ ts, but representative politicians are harmed since their policy choices can be overridden. This is a puzzle, since representative politicians were instrumental in creating these institutions. I build a model of direct democracy that explains why a representative might beneï¬ t from tying his or her own hands in this way. The key features are (1) that voters are uncertain about their representative's preferences; (2) that direct and representative elections are complementary ways for voters to control outcomes. The model shows that some politicians beneï¬ t from the introduction of direct democracy, since they are more likely to survive representative elections: direct democracy credibly prevents politicians from realising extreme outcomes. Historical evidence from the introduction of the initiative, referendum and recall in America broadly supports the theory, which also explains two empirical results that have puzzled scholars: legislators are trusted less, but reelected more, in US states with direct democracy. I conclude by discussing the potential for incomplete information and signaling models to improve our understanding of institutional change more generally.

Keywords: direct democracy; institutional change; referendums (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-11-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm and nep-pol
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Working Paper: Explaining Institutional Change: Why Elected Politicians Implement Direct Democracy (2010) Downloads
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