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Explainable Machine Learning in Credit Risk Management

Niklas Bussmann (), Paolo Giudici, Dimitri Marinelli () and Jochen Papenbrock ()
Additional contact information
Niklas Bussmann: University of Pavia
Dimitri Marinelli: FinNet-Project
Jochen Papenbrock: FIRAMIS

Computational Economics, 2021, vol. 57, issue 1, No 9, 203-216

Abstract: Abstract The paper proposes an explainable Artificial Intelligence model that can be used in credit risk management and, in particular, in measuring the risks that arise when credit is borrowed employing peer to peer lending platforms. The model applies correlation networks to Shapley values so that Artificial Intelligence predictions are grouped according to the similarity in the underlying explanations. The empirical analysis of 15,000 small and medium companies asking for credit reveals that both risky and not risky borrowers can be grouped according to a set of similar financial characteristics, which can be employed to explain their credit score and, therefore, to predict their future behaviour.

Keywords: Credit risk management; Explainable AI; Financial technologies; Similarity networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (41)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10614-020-10042-0

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