COVID-19’s U.S. Temperature Response Profile

Richard Carson, Samuel L. Carson, Thayne K. Dye, Samuel A. Mayfield, Daniel C. Moyer and Alex Yu
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Samuel L. Carson: Independent Consultant
Thayne K. Dye: Independent Consultant
Samuel A. Mayfield: University of California
Daniel C. Moyer: Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Environmental & Resource Economics, 2021, vol. 80, issue 4, No 1, 675-704

Abstract: Abstract We estimate the U.S. temperature response profile (TRP) for COVID-19 and show it is highly sensitive to temperature variation. Replacing the erratic daily death counts U.S. states initially reported with counts based on death certificate date, we build a week-ahead statistical forecasting model that explains most of their daily variation (R2 = 0.97) and isolates COVID-19’s TRP (p

Keywords: Data temporal alignment; Epidemiology; Forecasting; Temperature sensitivity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1007/s10640-021-00603-8

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