On the County-Level Credit Outcome Beta

Chintal Desai (), Gregory Elliehausen and Edward Lawrence

Journal of Financial Services Research, 2014, vol. 45, issue 2, 218 pages

Abstract: In their pioneering work, Musto and Souleles (Journal of Monetary Economics 53(1):59–84, 2006 ) apply portfolio theory to consumer lending. This paper extends their work by analyzing three county-level credit outcome betas. We use the probability of default calibrated from the credit score, the actual default rate, and the actual bankruptcy rate to compute ‘score’, ‘default’, and ‘bankruptcy’ betas for each U.S. county. The correlation between default and bankruptcy betas is quite low. Counties in states in which a borrower has a right to take action against aggressive collection practices tend to have higher default betas but lower bankruptcy betas. These findings suggest the possibility of an ‘informal bankruptcy’ option for consumers. The effects of county score, default, and bankruptcy betas on the county average revolving credit line per borrower are negative. For small lenders that do not have access to the detailed historical credit files on individual consumers, the county-level beta approach of this paper might be helpful for diversifying portfolios geographically and managing risk on existing accounts. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2014

Keywords: Beta; Default; Personal bankruptcy; Consumer credit; Portfolio theory; G21; E51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10693-012-0157-8 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kap:jfsres:v:45:y:2014:i:2:p:201-218

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/journal/10693

DOI: 10.1007/s10693-012-0157-8

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Financial Services Research is currently edited by Haluk Unal

More articles in Journal of Financial Services Research from Springer, Western Finance Association Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().