Managerial ability, forecasting quality, and open-market repurchase program completion

Jian Cao (), Yun Cheng, Joanna Golden and Joseph H. Zhang
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Jian Cao: Florida Atlantic University
Yun Cheng: University of West Georgia
Joanna Golden: The University of Memphis
Joseph H. Zhang: The University of Memphis

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2019, vol. 53, issue 3, No 9, 894 pages

Abstract: Abstract Prior research suggests that managers often fail to complete announced open market repurchase (OMR) plans due to uncertainty in the firm’s future cash flows. Although high-ability managers should manage cash flows more effectively to complete share reacquisitions, there is little evidence to support this idea. This paper investigates whether CEOs with superior ability to efficiently manage corporate resources are associated with higher OMR completion rates. Our main findings are that OMR program completion rates increase with managerial ability and that the association is further moderated by the quality of management earnings forecasts. Cross-sectional analyses indicate that the positive associations are more pronounced in firms with higher cash flow volatility and fewer rent extraction opportunities. Our results imply that the repurchase completion rate is potentially an observable signal of managers’ broader ability to forecast and adapt to uncertain cash flows during the repurchase period.

Keywords: Managerial ability; Management earnings forecasts; Open-market stock repurchases; D80; G30; M41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1007/s11156-018-0769-7

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