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How Sustainable are Sustainable Development Programs? The Case of the Sloping Land Conversion Program in China

Andreas Kontoleon and Pauline Grosjean

No 26.2007, Environmental Economy and Policy Research Working Papers from University of Cambridge, Department of Land Economics

Abstract: This paper undertakes a direct comprehensive assessment of the long-run sustainability of one the world’s largest sustainable development programs, the Slopping Land Conversion Program (SLCP) in China under different plausible post-SLCP scenarios. The analysis is based on farmer contingent behavior post-program land and labor decisions as well as choice experiment data. Our econometric results highlight the main obstacles to the program’s sustainability, which include specific shortfalls in program implementation as well as certain institutional constraints such as tenure insecurity, poor land renting rights, limited access to credit and limited land management rights.

Keywords: sustainable development programs; sustainability; recursive probit; choice modeling; Asia; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q2 Q4 R4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007, Revised 2007
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-cna, nep-dcm, nep-dev, nep-env, nep-ppm, nep-sea and nep-tra
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