Medición de los efectos de un aumento del 20% de las tarifas de Estados Unidos sobre la economía mexicana a través de modelización multisectorial

Luz Dary Beltrán Jaimes, Manuel Alejandro Cardenete and María del Carmen Delgado
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Luz Dary Beltrán Jaimes: Instituto Politécnico Nacional de México

Working Papers from Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Department of Economics

Abstract: The goal of this research is to simulate the possible effects of the 20% increase in tariffs on the Mexican economy. The price model used is based on a general equilibrium linear model. With this price model, the estimate of the impact of the effects of a US tariff increase of 20% on the Mexican economy is roughly estimated, simulating this increase on prices in the rest of the world. In this way, it is possible to calculate the effects on consumer prices and welfare represented in this case by the CPI. The main result shows that the impact of the increase of the prices of the rest of the world to the increase of the tariffs in the United States on the CPI is inflationary with an increase of around 4%.

Keywords: Social accounting matrix; Input-output analysis; Applied general equilibrium; Consumer price index. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 D58 E31 R13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12 pages
Date: 2017-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-mac
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