Macroeconomic determinants of European stock and government bond relations: a tale of two regions

Erica Perego and Wessel Vermeulen

DEM Discussion Paper Series from Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg

Abstract: This paper studies the dynamic correlation between stocks, between government bonds and between stocks and bonds within the Euro-zone in the last decade. In order to better understand the development of the financial market we argue that it is necessary to analyse all such relations simultaneously rather than focus at one. We firstly calculate the dynamic correlation for the previous asset classes. Results presented at the asset-region level, i.e. north-stock, north-bonds, south-stocks and south-bonds, visualise the divergence in integration in Europe and highlight the he- terogeneity in these markets. Secondly, we study the macroeconomic factors that determine these correlations. We find that, when we allow for regional division, not only cross-asset correlations within regions behave differently from each other, but also cross-assets cross-regions dynamic correlations can be explained with ma- croeconomic factors such as the relative market uncertainty between countries and balance of payments dynamics.

Keywords: Currency union; financial markets; time-varying correlation. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 E44 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:luc:wpaper:13-08

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