Age, Desires and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration

Michel Beine

DEM Discussion Paper Series from Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg

Abstract: (To consult this DP, please send an e-mail to dem@uni.lu) In this note, I attempt to isolate the role of age as a self-selection factor of international migration. I estimate the role of age on intended emigration rather than on observed outcomes of migration. I use individual measures of intended emigration drawn from a large-scale survey conducted by Gallup. I find evidence of a monotonic negative effect on desired emigration for the working-age population. The estimations point to a very robust effect suggesting that an additional year of age decreases the probability of intended emigration by about 0.5%. This effect is robust over different periods of time and for most types of countries of origin. The results contrast with previous evidence obtained on observed outcomes of migration, suggesting that out-selection factors interact with age and shape the demographic profile of migrants.

Keywords: Age; International Migration; Intended Emigration; Logit; Large-scale Survey. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C25 F22 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int, nep-mig and nep-ure
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:luc:wpaper:20-22

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