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Determining risk preferences for pain

Eike Kroll, Judith N. Trarbach () and Bodo Vogt ()
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Judith N. Trarbach: Faculty of Economics and Management, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg
Bodo Vogt: Faculty of Economics and Management, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg

No 110006, FEMM Working Papers from Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management

Abstract: The QALY concept is the commonly used approach in research to evaluate the efficiency of therapies in cost utility analysis. We investigate the risk neutrality assumption for time of the QALY concept: can time be included as a linear factor? Various studies show that this assumption does not hold empirically. However, the results are based on hypothetical questionnaires rather than decisions with real consequences. Experimental economists argue that experiments are necessary to avoid hypothetical bias. Our study provides the first experimental analysis of health related decision making. Using the cold pressor test we can analyze decisions when subjects face real consequences. Analog to the hypothetical studies, our experimental results of real decisions provide no linear time preferences. In conclusion, the QALY concept needs to be modified by a weighting factor for time.

Pages: 13 pages
Date: 2011-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-exp and nep-upt
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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