The Relationship Between Greek Exports and Foreign Income
Konstantinos Chisiridis () and
Theodore Panagiotidis
Discussion Paper Series from Department of Economics, University of Macedonia
Abstract:
This paper assesses the effect of foreign economic activity on Greek exports based on both static and dynamic analysis. We employ data from 1995:I to 2016:IV and quantify the long-run foreign income elasticity of Greek exports. We establish a cointegration relationship and find, based on Dynamic OLS estimations, that the aggregate foreign income elasticity of Greek exports is above one and the price elasticity is positive. We reveal that economic growth in Turkey and in emerging markets such as the Balkans, North Africa and the Middle East have the greatest impact on Greek exports. The impact of the traditional European trading partners of Greece (Germany and Italy) are found to be positive but insignicant. Finally, the dynamic analysis shows a positive interaction between real income growth in Turkey and Greek export growth in the short-run horizon. A real depreciation of the Greek economy will lead to an increase in exports.
Keywords: exports; growth; cointegration; Greece. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-04, Revised 2018-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2018_03
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