State-Dependent Effect on Voter Turnout: The Case of US House Elections

Panagiotis Th. Konstantinou (), Theodore Panagiotidis and Costas Roumanias ()
Additional contact information
Panagiotis Th. Konstantinou: Athens University of Economics and Business, https://www.aueb.gr/en/faculty_page/konstantinou-panagiotis
Costas Roumanias: Athens University of Economics and Business, https://www.aueb.gr/en/faculty_page/roumanias-konstantinos

Discussion Paper Series from Department of Economics, University of Macedonia

Abstract: In models of voter participation, the effects of election margin and campaign expenditure can be shown to be state-dependent – varying with low/high turnout. We empirically assess these implications for observed turnout, employing data from US House elections from 2000 to 2008 by means of quantile regression analysis. We document that the effects of expected election margin and campaign spending on turnout are statedependent: the later is positive and decreasing, whereas the former is negative and Ushaped. Other determinants’ influence on turnout (e.g. education, population density) is also shown to vary across the conditional distribution of turnout rate. Our findings are robust to a number of extensions.

Keywords: Voter Turnout; Election Margin; Campaign Expenditure; Quantile Regression. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-01, Revised 2019-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://aphrodite.uom.gr/econwp/pdf/dp012019.pdf
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Can't connect to aphrodite.uom.gr:80 (A connection attempt failed because the connected party did not properly respond after a period of time, or established connection failed because connected host has failed to respond.)

Related works:
Journal Article: State-dependent effect on voter turnout: The case of US House elections (2021)
Working Paper: State-Dependent Effect on Voter Turnout: The Case of US House Elections (2019)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2019_01

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Discussion Paper Series from Department of Economics, University of Macedonia
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Theodore Panagiotidis () and Anastasia Litina ().