The Differential Effects of Population Aging on Provincial GDP per capita and the Role of Productivity Growth as a Possible offset

Frank T. Denton and Byron Spencer

Department of Economics Working Papers from McMaster University

Abstract: A shift in population distribution toward older ages is underway in industrialised countries throughout the world and will continue well into the future. We provide a framework for isolating the pure effects of population aging on per capita GDP, employ the framework in calculations for the ten provinces of Canada, and derive the rates of productivity growth required to offset those effects. For comparison, as possible alternative offsets, we consider also some changes relating to the supply of labour.

JEL-codes: J1 J11 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37 pages
Date: 2018-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-eff and nep-lab
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mcm:deptwp:2018-04

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