Investigating the macroeconomic determinants of household debt in South Africa

Anelisa Nomatye () and Andrew Phiri
Additional contact information
Anelisa Nomatye: Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University

No 1719, Working Papers from Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University

Abstract: Following the 2007 global financial crisis, the understanding of the relationship between debt and other economic indicators has become crucial for policymakers worldwide. In this study, we investigated the macroeconomic determinants of household debt for the South African economy using macroeconomic variables such as GDP growth, consumption, interest rates, inflation, housing prices and domestic investments. Our mode of empirical investigation is the quantile regression approach which is applied to quarterly time series data spanning from 2002:q1 to 2016:q4. Our empirical results imply that inflation and consumption are insignificantly related with household debt; GDP growth and house prices are only related with household debt at moderate to high levels of distributions whereas interest rates and investment are related with household debt across all quantile distributions. All-in-all, these empirical findings bear important implications for South African policymakers.

Keywords: Household debt; Quantile regressions; South Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C51 R20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 22 page
Date: 2017-12, Revised 2017-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://repec.mandela.ac.za/RePEc/mnd/wpaper/paper.1719.pdf First version, 2017 (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Internal Server Error

Related works:
Journal Article: Investigating the Macroeconomic Determinants of Hosehold Debt in South Africa (2018)
Working Paper: Investigating the macroeconomic determinants of household debt in South Africa (2017)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mnd:wpaper:1719

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Andrew Phiri ().