Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models

Aiguo Dai ()
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Aiguo Dai: National Center for Atmospheric Research

Nature Climate Change, 2013, vol. 3, issue 1, 52-58

Abstract: Historical records show increased aridity over many land areas since 1950. This study looks at observations and model projections from 1923 to 2010, to test the ability of models to predict future drought conditions. Models are able to capture the greenhouse-gas forcing and El Niño–Southern Oscillation mode for historical periods, which inspires confidence in their projections of drought.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1633

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