Global flood risk under climate change

Yukiko Hirabayashi (), Roobavannan Mahendran, Sujan Koirala, Lisako Konoshima, Dai Yamazaki, Satoshi Watanabe, Hyungjun Kim and Shinjiro Kanae ()
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Yukiko Hirabayashi: Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo
Roobavannan Mahendran: Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo
Sujan Koirala: Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo
Lisako Konoshima: Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo
Dai Yamazaki: School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol
Satoshi Watanabe: Institute of Engineering Innovation, The University of Tokyo
Hyungjun Kim: Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo
Shinjiro Kanae: Tokyo Institute of Technology

Nature Climate Change, 2013, vol. 3, issue 9, 816-821

Abstract: Flood risk is expected to increase as the climate warms. This study, for the first time, uses several climate models to estimate the global risk of flooding at the end of the century. Projections show a large increase in flood frequency in some areas, whereas other regions can expect a decrease. Vulnerability is dependent on the degree of warming and the interannual variability in precipitation.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1911

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