Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean

Wolfgang Cramer (), Joël Guiot, Marianela Fader, Joaquim Garrabou, Jean-Pierre Gattuso, Ana Iglesias, Manfred A. Lange, Piero Lionello, Maria Carmen Llasat, Shlomit Paz, Josep Peñuelas, Maria Snoussi, Andrea Toreti, Michael N. Tsimplis and Elena Xoplaki
Additional contact information
Wolfgang Cramer: IMBE, Aix Marseille University, CNRS, IRD, Avignon University
Joël Guiot: Aix Marseille University, CNRS, IRD, INRA, College de France, CEREGE
Marianela Fader: International Centre for Water Resources and Global Change, UNESCO, Federal Institute of Hydrology
Joaquim Garrabou: Institut Ciències del Mar, CSIC
Jean-Pierre Gattuso: Sorbonne Université, CNRS, Laboratoire d’Océanographie de Villefranche
Ana Iglesias: Universidad Politécnica de Madrid
Manfred A. Lange: Energy, Environment and Water Research Center, Cyprus Institute
Piero Lionello: DiSTeBA, University of Salento
Maria Carmen Llasat: University of Barcelona
Shlomit Paz: University of Haifa
Josep Peñuelas: Global Ecology Unit, CREAF-CSIC-UAB
Maria Snoussi: Faculté des Sciences, Université. Mohammed V
Andrea Toreti: European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Michael N. Tsimplis: School of Law, Hong Kong City University
Elena Xoplaki: Climatology, Climate Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Geography, Justus-Liebig Universität Gießen

Nature Climate Change, 2018, vol. 8, issue 11, 972-980

Abstract: Abstract Recent accelerated climate change has exacerbated existing environmental problems in the Mediterranean Basin that are caused by the combination of changes in land use, increasing pollution and declining biodiversity. For five broad and interconnected impact domains (water, ecosystems, food, health and security), current change and future scenarios consistently point to significant and increasing risks during the coming decades. Policies for the sustainable development of Mediterranean countries need to mitigate these risks and consider adaptation options, but currently lack adequate information — particularly for the most vulnerable southern Mediterranean societies, where fewer systematic observations schemes and impact models are based. A dedicated effort to synthesize existing scientific knowledge across disciplines is underway and aims to provide a better understanding of the combined risks posed.

Date: 2018
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DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2

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