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Cross-cutting scenarios and strategies for designing decarbonization pathways in the transport sector toward carbon neutrality

Runsen Zhang () and Tatsuya Hanaoka
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Runsen Zhang: Hiroshima University
Tatsuya Hanaoka: Social Systems Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies

Nature Communications, 2022, vol. 13, issue 1, 1-10

Abstract: Abstract The transport sector will play a pivotal role in achieving China’s carbon neutrality goal by 2060. This study develops a regional transport-energy integrated model to analyze the long-term pathways and strategies toward the carbon-neutral ground transport sector in China. A set of scenarios are created to identify the effectiveness and feasibility of low-carbon policy measures based on the well-known transport strategies within the Avoid–Shift–Improve framework. Our simulations shed light on synergistic coupling and trade-offs among different strategies and instruments for prescribing a desirable mix of policy measures that maximize the synergies and minimize the trade-offs. Here, we show that a region-specific policy package designed from a balanced perspective under the Avoid–Shift–Improve framework has the potential to realize a deep decarbonization in the transport sector and will greatly assist in achieving China’s carbon neutrality by 2060.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31354-9

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