Analysing megatrends to better shape the future of tourism

Oecd

No 2018/02, OECD Tourism Papers from OECD Publishing

Abstract: The future of tourism will be impacted by large-scale social, economic, political, environmental and technological changes, bringing new and often unseen challenges, threats and opportunities. These “megatrends” are slow to form, but once they have taken root, exercise a profound and lasting influence on human activities, processes and perceptions, including for tourism. Four megatrends are likely to have significant impacts and relevance for tourism: i) evolving visitor demand; ii) sustainable tourism growth; iii) enabling technologies; and iv) travel mobility. Exploring the multidimensional implications of these megatrends to 2040 is important to inform policy and shape the future of tourism. This Tourism Paper develops a range of plausible scenarios and potential policy responses for the megatrends mentioned above, it then examines how policy makers can better prepare for megatrends, and presents a set of guiding principles for effective strategic foresight in tourism.

Keywords: enabling technologies; megatrends; scenario planning; strategic foresight; sustainable tourism; tourism; travel mobility; visitor demand (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-11-23
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-tur
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:oec:cfeaab:2018/02-en

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