Redundant multiple testing corrections: The fallacy of using family-based error rates to make inferences about individual hypotheses

Mark Rubin
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Mark Rubin: Durham University

No d6a8s, MetaArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: During multiple testing, researchers often adjust their alpha level to control the familywise error rate for a statistical inference about a joint union alternative hypothesis (e.g., “H1 or H2”). However, in some cases, they do not make this inference. Instead, they make separate inferences about each of the individual hypotheses that comprise the joint hypothesis (e.g., H1 and H2). For example, a researcher might use a Bonferroni correction to adjust their alpha level from the conventional level of 0.050 to 0.025 when testing H1 and H2, find a significant result for H1 (p < 0.025) and not for H2 (p > .0.025), and so claim support for H1 and not for H2. However, these separate individual inferences do not require an alpha adjustment. Only a statistical inference about the union alternative hypothesis “H1 or H2” requires an alpha adjustment because it is based on “at least one” significant result among the two tests, and so it depends on the familywise error rate. When a researcher corrects their alpha level during multiple testing but does not make an inference about the union alternative hypothesis, their correction is redundant. In the present article, I discuss this redundant correction problem, including its reduction in statistical power for tests of individual hypotheses and its potential causes vis-à-vis error rate confusions and the alpha adjustment ritual. I also provide three illustrations of redundant corrections from recent psychology studies. I conclude that redundant corrections represent a symptom of statisticism, and I call for a more nuanced inference-based approach to multiple testing corrections.

Date: 2024-01-24
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:metaar:d6a8s

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/d6a8s

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