Rationing Social Contact During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmission Risk and Social Benefits of US Locations

Seth Benzell (), Avinash Collis and Christos Nicolaides
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Christos Nicolaides: University of Cyprus

No d64vm, OSF Preprints from Center for Open Science

Abstract: To prevent the spread of COVID-19, some types of stores and gathering places have been shut down while others remain open. The decision to shut down one type of location and leave another open constitutes a judgement about the relative danger and benefits of those locations. Using location data from a large sample of smartphones, nationally representative consumer preference surveys, and government statistics, we measure the relative transmission risk benefit and social cost of closing about thirty different location categories in the US. Our categories include types of shops, entertainments, and public spaces. Our main analysis ranks twenty-six categories by those which should face stricter regulation via dominance across eight dimensions of risk and importance and through composite indexes. We find that from February to March, there were larger declines in visits to locations that our measures imply should be closed first. We hope this analysis will help policymakers decide how to reopen their economies.

Date: 2020-04-18
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-gen and nep-ure
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32)

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Journal Article: Rationing social contact during the COVID-19 pandemic: Transmission risk and social benefits of US locations (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:osfxxx:d64vm

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/d64vm

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