Future Scenarios of Climate Change Impacts on Fisheries and Aquaculture in Vietnam

Nhuong Tran, Chin Yee Chan, Yee Mon Aung, Conner Bailey, Michael Akester, Cao Le Quyen, Trinh Quang Tu, Hoang Van Cuong, Timothy Sulser and Keith Wiebe

No 72har, SocArXiv from Center for Open Science

Abstract: The Vietnamese fisheries sector, including both marine fisheries and aquaculture, has made spectacular progress in recent years, becoming one of the top seafood producing and exporting countries in the world. Looking forward, development goals of this sector must address challenges associated with climate change, including changing distribution of commercially important marine species such as tuna and disruptions to land-based aquaculture production systems. This study investigates the likely impacts of climate change on Vietnam’s fisheries sector by exploring plausible future scenarios for four key commodities representing capture fisheries (tuna), freshwater aquaculture (pangasius catfish and tilapia), and brackish water aquaculture (shrimp). The extent of impact varies, but climate change represents a potentially significant threat to sustainable production in each production system. Producers, policy makers, and other stakeholders need to plan for and adapt to climate change to ensure the sustainable development of Vietnam’s fisheries sector. This study uses a foresight scenario analysis using a qualitative scenario approach as the starting point for additional modeling of climate change impacts.

Date: 2022-01-29
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-env and nep-sea
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:osf:socarx:72har

DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/72har

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